Noteworthy-Satellite
0x2e9178972b12233a98864a2da92cf733fc36a1b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-56.05
Realised
$-1.87
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5%
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.70
$-6.90
- YES
Will Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.45
$-1.45
- YES
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
22 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?
12 shares @ 85.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?
5 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 13?
5 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?$12.16Aug 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$9.15Aug 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?$22.01Aug 9, 09:36 UTC
- REWARD$16.21Aug 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?$7.20Aug 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?$0.87Aug 8, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 5–10%?$0.68Aug 8, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.67Aug 8, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?$9.20Aug 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?$14.60Aug 8, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.60Aug 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.20Aug 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?$0.90Aug 8, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 5–10%?$1.45Aug 8, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$8.60Aug 8, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?$1.90Aug 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5%$7.60Aug 8, 06:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.64Aug 8, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.91Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- REWARD$4.72Aug 7, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.