Downright-Thinking
0x2e96b95b8ae8c431eafbb0e500f3fb1353c17ae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$456.47
Total PnL
$3.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?
454 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$454.47
$3.64
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$450.83Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$1.00Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$1.06Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$2.01Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$453.52Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$2.00Feb 8, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$444.00Feb 8, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.02Feb 8, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?$438.75Feb 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?$436.56Jan 6, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.11Jan 6, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$412.47Jan 6, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$410.00Dec 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.10Dec 12, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$456.07Dec 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$452.88Nov 3, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMOver $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$452.88Nov 3, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $221.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.