Reasonable-Arrow
0x2e9c95ed579c1853295a0733e1c2ea5a37f44102
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.27
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-480.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$3.27
$0.33
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
7491 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
952 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-875.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
636 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-340.52
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
459 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-298.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)$297.25Nov 3, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$298.36Nov 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$290.40Nov 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$36.40Nov 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$455.00Nov 3, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$2.94Nov 3, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$35.60Nov 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$267.00Nov 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$33.00Nov 3, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$2.23Nov 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$8.27Nov 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$1.41Nov 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$2.33Nov 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$276.25Nov 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$2.70Nov 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 6+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$872.82Nov 3, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$189.00Nov 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$45.00Nov 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$5.52Nov 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$70.01Nov 3, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $318.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".