0x2ea0a6d975f5ba84bba5155f6260d30ecb3bea5d
0x2ea0a6d975f5ba84bba5155f6260d30ecb3bea5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$15.63
Total PnL
$-62.11
Realised
$1.43
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.99
$0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.88
$0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 28?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.54
$0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 29?
8 shares @ 15.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.46
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.08
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.05
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.94
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?
19 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.92
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 29?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.81
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?
9 shares @ 12.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.78
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 29?$1.16Jun 27, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?$1.17Jun 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?$1.19Jun 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 29?$1.19Jun 27, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?$1.18Jun 27, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?$0.72Jun 27, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$4.45Jun 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?$1.24Jun 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 27?$1.17Jun 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 28?$1.24Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 27?$1.13Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?$1.19Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?$1.10Jun 26, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?$0.10Jun 26, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?$0.28Jun 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?$0.23Jun 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?$0.62Jun 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?$0.52Jun 26, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?$0.51Jun 26, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?$0.17Jun 26, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.