Weekly-Crime
0x2eab8e44e6c181a67e66a2ff63138e66a708ca25
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-770.44
Realised
$-10.98
Win rate
0%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
336 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-282.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
299 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-214.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
25 shares @ 80.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.09Aug 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.01Aug 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.09Aug 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.01Aug 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.08Aug 12, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.01Aug 12, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.14Aug 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.01Aug 12, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.04Aug 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.01Aug 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.08Aug 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.01Aug 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.10Aug 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.01Aug 11, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.14Aug 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.08Aug 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.01Aug 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.06Aug 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.02Aug 11, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.