Another-Warfare
0x2ecce36487df414b7f6164d530304df910ee47d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.16
Total PnL
$-2.05
Realised
$-2.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.97
$0.67
- NO
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.32
$0.02
- NO
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.31
$0.01
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.22
$0.02
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.21
$0.01
- NO
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.21
$0.01
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.21
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House$1.20Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$1.30Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$1.20Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.20Oct 29, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?$1.20Oct 29, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player win the Ballon d'Or?$1.30Oct 29, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEM Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?$1.40Oct 29, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$2.8KOct 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$2.8KOct 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?$2.8KOct 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.30Oct 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.20Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.30Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?$1.40Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?$1.20Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Ballon d'Or?$1.30Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?$1.30Oct 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?$1.20Oct 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?$1.20Oct 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?$1.40Oct 28, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $596.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.