Firm-Transformation
0x2ecd9d6348181ec4c427d0c47ad9781b967a9d26
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.99
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.99
$0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
3220 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2310 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2305 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.86Mar 26, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$164.00Mar 26, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 2, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$104.96Jan 10, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.02Jan 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 7, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$2.03Jan 7, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.04Jan 7, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.6KDec 27, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.4KDec 27, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$3.2KDec 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$56.59Dec 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.7KDec 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$3.9KDec 27, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.0KDec 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.7KDec 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.7KDec 27, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $724.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".