Unknown-Butterfly-Blight
0x2ed0c1c4428283d169d3eda131d3d472191cc3a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.57
Realised
$-8.77
Win rate
0%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
53 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.42
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
41 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
36 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
33 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
28 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
27 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
26 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
24 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
24 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$6.00Jul 14, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.00Jul 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.64Jul 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.12Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.64Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$15.15Jul 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$4.84Jul 14, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$7.21Jul 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.13Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.14Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.87Jul 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$7.20Jul 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.15Jul 14, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$8.13Jul 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.02Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.02Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.84Jul 14, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$6.15Jul 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.16Jul 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.73Jul 14, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
46 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.