Remote-Activist
0x2ed2902ceb093aa63135dd83a812f7153f8c7b9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$127.65
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-185.10
Win rate
56%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 23?
146 shares @ 96.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$127.65
$-12.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7PM ET
1075 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-163.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3PM ET
230 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-51.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
200 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
200 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2PM ET
160 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
160 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
100 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 23?$140.45Aug 23, 06:03 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.45Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.70Jul 1, 21:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.45Jun 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.70Jun 19, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$8.04Jun 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$13.56Jun 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.90Jun 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.00Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.71Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.19Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.69Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$6.02Jun 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.58Jun 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.47Jun 17, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$7.50Jun 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$6.56Jun 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$6.40Jun 17, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Jun 17, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
94 closed markets, 56% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.