Purple-Rate
0x2ee683b03cb361b66ed8ad6aeb60f7fe8f29ac9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.77
Total PnL
$5.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ST. JOHNS RED STORM
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$9.96
$5.08
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.72
$0.02
- NO
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$4.00Apr 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)$4.90Mar 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?$1.70Jan 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$2.00Jan 31, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.