Acceptable-Gland
0x2ef6a19a068db36cbf8088d5e4bee741989634c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$1.68
Total PnL
$-286.09
Realised
$-7.94
Win rate
0%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.68
$-1.07
- NO
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-10?
3200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
2680 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- UNDER
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5
2680 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-06?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- CLUB ATLÉTICO DE MADRID
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
360 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-06?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
174 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
81 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- NO
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15?
66 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5$2.40Jul 31, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?$2.51Jul 30, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 30?$3.47Jul 30, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 30?$7.68Jul 30, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 30?$2.89Jul 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)$2.81Jul 30, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?$5.26Jul 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?$2.51Jul 30, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLGD Gaming vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)?$2.69Jul 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?$2.59Jul 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?$4.77Jul 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?$2.52Jul 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars end in a draw?$3.32Jul 30, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner$5.67Jul 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 29?$3.73Jul 29, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner$2.65Jul 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner$3.49Jul 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-07-29?$3.38Jul 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs$5.29Jul 29, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29?$3.36Jul 29, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
99 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.