Dimpled-Opposition
0x2ef771fd8389db12d5ba48b6b12eadaac11085ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$59.09
Total PnL
$3.6K
Realised
$3.8K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4254 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.77
$-0.39
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
362 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.31
$-6.23
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
969 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.79
- NO
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
930 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-130.20
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
133 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$36.82Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$16.25Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$15.12Jun 22, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$32.00Jun 22, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.74Jun 22, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.20Jun 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.08Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.95Jun 22, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$31.19Jun 22, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$63.94Jun 22, 09:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.53Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.45Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$100.00Jun 21, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$40.66Jun 21, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$100.00Jun 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$122.00Jun 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$144.78Jun 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$102.55Jun 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$619.52Jun 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$30.96Jun 21, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $69.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.