Melodic-Concept
0x2efd8b4ae867884206b4fc9681b2f12a4b93d295
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-948.66
Realised
$36.66
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 27?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 26?
1524 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.25 and 2,5 million views in the first week?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 4?
546 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12?
386 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?$9.00Apr 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?$9.00Apr 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6AM ET$6.30Apr 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET$9.63Apr 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET$5.10Apr 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET$5.00Apr 13, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$9.65Apr 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.10Apr 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.10Apr 13, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.00Apr 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$10.20Apr 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$20.00Apr 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.20Apr 12, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 11?$20.87Apr 12, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$9.67Apr 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.40Apr 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$14.40Apr 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.76Apr 11, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.