Lumpy-Review
0x2f0193488229c11231ddf9fded63abba786c745d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$20.98
Total PnL
$-3.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.04
$0.36
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 34.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.92
$1.92
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
2 shares @ 92.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.12
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.68Jan 28, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$4.00Jan 28, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$2.86Jan 28, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$6.82Jan 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$5.66Jan 24, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.61Jan 24, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.82Jan 24, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.20Jan 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.50Jan 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 10, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.00Jan 10, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Jan 10, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$2.00Jan 10, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.50Jan 10, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.