Stunning-Column
0x2f0f75c8680b41acf24f50f738f7274dc4ccff05
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$64.22
Win rate
67%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
656 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
206 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-118.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
198 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-27.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
151 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-58.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
142 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-42.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
132 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
122 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
115 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
114 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
113 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$8.26Jul 15, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.12Jun 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.12Jun 20, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.01Jun 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.61Jun 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.93Jun 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$8.21Jun 20, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$8.88Jun 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$8.12Jun 20, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.25Jun 20, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.12Jun 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$9.13Jun 20, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$10.51Jun 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.66Jun 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.19Jun 20, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.90Jun 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.22Jun 20, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.19Jun 20, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.51Jun 20, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2.10Jun 20, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.