Defensive-Spark
0x2f1eefce8376a4220b73d171e9c6815f24b64086
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.94
Total PnL
$-962.20
Realised
$-4.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?
709 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-390.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
313 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-10?
271 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-56.90
- YES
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?
216 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-53.94
- NO
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
107 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
77 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 1, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?$101.35May 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?$152.02May 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?$20.27May 27, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?$20.27May 27, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?$101.35May 27, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?$117.52May 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?$60.88May 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$10.23May 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$49.95May 19, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC leading at halftime?$23.88May 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$40.94May 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC leading at halftime?$4.05May 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC leading at halftime?$10.13May 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$4.10May 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$30.36May 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$354.73May 18, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$30.60May 18, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$58.47May 18, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$15.22May 18, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $38.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".