Quirky-Poultry
0x2f208c5623d7386b0c2d047c57b479f52e4beca7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-653.61
Realised
$-41.75
Win rate
0%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
80 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- NO
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?
60 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$3.29Aug 13, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.65Aug 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.28Aug 13, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.61Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.04Aug 13, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.31Aug 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.28Aug 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.09Aug 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.94Aug 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.41Aug 11, 15:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.55Aug 11, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.30Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.12Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.53Aug 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.91Aug 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.64Aug 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.30Aug 10, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 174 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
174 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.