Wiggly-Ephemeris
0x2f3986368fa98b93cfa31bc4eb889109beb05bc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$106.43
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
3158 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of January?
2024 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.53
- YES
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?
1256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Discord IPO in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Hoppers" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
566 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will "Man Vs. Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$2.00Apr 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$10.00Apr 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot$10.00Apr 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner$10.00Apr 11, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner$5.00Apr 10, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik$10.00Apr 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$5.00Mar 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.00Mar 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.00Mar 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?$2.00Mar 11, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?$5.00Mar 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?$2.00Mar 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?$5.00Mar 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 10, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 10, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 10, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 10, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.00Mar 9, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.00Mar 9, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".