0x2f4697aded31dde9a5d0034ccc025986694d04b9
0x2f4697aded31dde9a5d0034ccc025986694d04b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$150.32
Total PnL
$-25.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$40.10
$0.88
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$30.10
$0.16
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$20.04
$0.32
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$4.40
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
10 shares @ 50.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.08
$4.97
- YES
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$10.00
$2.90
- NO
US recession in 2025?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.00
$2.80
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 69.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$10.00
$3.06
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
61 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.92
- YES
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?
51 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-11.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$9.93Jun 23, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$9.79Jun 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$9.97Jun 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.40Jun 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$7.20Jun 21, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$1.30Jun 20, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$9.99Jun 20, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.49Jun 19, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$3.40Jun 19, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$9.83Jun 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$7.70Jun 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$6.94Jun 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.11Jun 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$9.81Jun 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$7.90Jun 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$9.81Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$9.77Jun 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$7.10Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.40Jun 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$9.98Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.