Arid-Border
0x2f4f41dbe20b4aef9cf603aa116240923baac44b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.3K
Realised
$310.88
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will Kari Lake win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
52020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-249.96
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
47521 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.8K
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
42857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
37754 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$0.00
$-399.96
- NO
RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate?
37067 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.4K
- NO
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
27598 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.4K
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
25266 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
23997 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Housecoin reach $0.150 before June?
20000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $0.71Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pipeline" by April 4?$7.50Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?$55.41Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? $129.24Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?$168.00Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$173.85Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?$177.77Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$200.92Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.2KDec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.9KDec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$2.2KDec 26, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.2KDec 26, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$7.5KDec 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$528.37Sep 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$100.00Sep 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$600.00Sep 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$1.4KSep 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$500.00Sep 22, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$300.00Sep 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$400.00Sep 22, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $614.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".