Clueless-Birdwatcher
0x2f6ba1385403773f0466c31e3b4ad5449ac72a84
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$3.75
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$2.75
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
2303 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-652.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 31?
1183 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.35
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?
444 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- ERNESTA KARECKAITE
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)
392 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-230.43
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?
385 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- BC.GAME ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
290 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
258 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-31.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
230 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-118.45
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
202 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$46.81Apr 7, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$16.52Apr 7, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.00Apr 7, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$36.25Apr 7, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$80.94Apr 7, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$80.94Apr 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$54.00Apr 7, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$54.01Apr 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$30.14Apr 7, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs$52.00Apr 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$15.38Apr 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.12Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$11.99Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.92Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.15Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$12.90Apr 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$483.84Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$38.00Apr 7, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner$281.19Apr 7, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner$289.00Apr 7, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $106.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".