Reliable-Eicosanoid
0x2f6f6bcc14511f9451f20baa5892d3978bfd5069
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$29.85
Total PnL
$-190.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.78
$2.78
- YES
Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-5.40
- NO
Will PayPal say "Blue Owl" during earnings call?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
37 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-4.65
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-9.84
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition?
495 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
201 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$10.00Mar 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?$5.00Feb 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$6.67Feb 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$13.81Feb 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$5.00Jan 30, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$5.00Jan 30, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?$10.00Jan 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?$10.00Jan 30, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 24, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Blue Owl" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 24, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 24, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$10.00Jan 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?$20.00Jan 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$10.00Jan 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$10.00Jan 17, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.