Animated-Exam-Archaeologist
0x2f760075060c0cdb00d9ab623588962be639bccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
167
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-32.40
Win rate
14%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?
222 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$222.26
$22.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?
205 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$205.05
$5.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 16?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$105.83
$5.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 16?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$102.71
$2.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$101.53
$1.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?
113 shares @ 88.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$101.30
$1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 16?
103 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$98.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$96.09
$-3.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 16?
104 shares @ 96.6¢·now 89.4¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$92.53
$-7.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?
108 shares @ 91.8¢·now 84.7¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$91.42
$-7.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?$220.58Jul 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$99.14Jul 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$99.65Jul 15, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 16?$8.06Jul 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on July 16?$22.48Jul 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 16?$10.84Jul 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?$19.90Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?$20.73Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 16?$18.82Jul 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?$15.26Jul 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 16?$3.88Jul 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?$32.32Jul 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 16?$7.54Jul 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$2.49Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 16?$16.45Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 16?$32.53Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?$200.25Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?$201.01Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?$30.77Jul 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?$16.00Jul 15, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
36 closed markets, 14% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.