Jubilant-Inability-Nutmeg
0x2f779b5c6a2d41d87f2b00498c4b4e11a8c632cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$24.66
Win rate
7%
103 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
76251 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
6333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- KUNANAN PANTARATORN
ITF Nakhon Pathom: Kasidit Samrej vs Kunanan Pantaratorn
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
4916 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
3057 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on May 29?
2708 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
2686 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-45.29
- ILYA IVASHKA
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka
2324 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-418.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?$197.16May 31, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$138.90May 31, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$15.80May 31, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$15.53May 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$15.56May 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$185.37May 31, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$151.59May 31, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$15.38May 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$15.37May 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$15.39May 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$15.57May 31, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.01May 31, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$3.17May 31, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$19.06May 31, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$15.46May 31, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$31.92May 31, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$15.06May 31, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$15.08May 31, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5$20.57May 31, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners$40.70May 31, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 103 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
103 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $55.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 103 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.