Reliable-Silence
0x2f9b8638f03af7d6053c512cc054ac733489a68c
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$63.69
Total PnL
$-22.65
Realised
$7.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?
107 shares @ 32.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$23.57
$-10.71
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.61
$1.71
- NO
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
16 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$10.16
$0.72
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.88
$-1.13
- YES
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
47 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.46
$-1.41
- NO
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
2 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.75
$-0.04
- NO
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.27
$-9.09
- YES
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?$34.284h ago
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$379.685h ago
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?$9.876h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$28.968h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$28.968h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$9.698h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.799h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$9.3610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$9.4411h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.9013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12.6916h ago
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.8316h ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$9.6923h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$9.601d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.351d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.361d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$7.491d ago
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.491d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$11.201d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
