Frugal-Obstacle
0x2f9ed7808dd7ee2b34a3b6eec1abff10913a586d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-265.24
Realised
$-81.37
Win rate
33%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
37 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
5 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
5 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
5 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.47Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$5.00Aug 11, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.00Aug 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.50Aug 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.11Aug 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$2.50Aug 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.39Aug 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.17Aug 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.08Aug 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.25Aug 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Aug 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.24Aug 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.50Aug 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.50Aug 10, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.50Aug 10, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.50Aug 10, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.00Aug 10, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Aug 10, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
70 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.