Infamous-Paddle-Sherry
0x2fa255ba188fd6c7a2f0569f3eedabea18053729
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$9.89
Total PnL
$-128.78
Realised
$-3.45
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$5.47
$1.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
42 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$4.42
$-3.58
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
128 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
69 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
42 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.30Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?$0.14Jul 3, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win on 2026-07-02?$0.17Jul 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$7.05Jul 3, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4.16Jul 3, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$5.08Jul 3, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?$3.57Jul 3, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-07-02?$2.56Jul 3, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4.16Jul 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4.16Jul 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$0.06Jul 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$0.43Jul 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.12Jul 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$2.06Jul 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$5.63Jul 2, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$12.23Jul 1, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$3.68Jul 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$3.07Jul 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-01?$7.14Jul 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$3.05Jul 1, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.