Jaded-Rambler
0x2fa8629a4b4d55cd3fee6561791461e5d1e4caca
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.68
Total PnL
$-23.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.03Feb 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$0.23Feb 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.99Feb 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$2.00Jan 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $0.29Jan 8, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 7, 1PM ET$0.00Jan 8, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 7, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?$0.34Jan 7, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?$8.80Jan 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".