Natural-Placement
0x2fb00cfd99c7f63d9c0e712af2322f5901a97c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.81
Total PnL
$-84.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
1339 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
133 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
120 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
119 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$7.65Feb 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.74Feb 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$11.94Feb 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.56Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.97Feb 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".