Capital-Tension
0x2fb091f9d0004b247ab308626219c5f7822b815a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$132.16
Total PnL
$-4.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$50.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Evans Chebet win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$50.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.01May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.01May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.91May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$122.61May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.90Feb 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$122.00Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.01Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$7.01Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$11.03Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.10Feb 21, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$7.00Jan 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$10.00Jan 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $22.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".