Capital-Tension
0x2fb091f9d0004b247ab308626219c5f7822b815a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$120.06
Total PnL
$-4.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $700 in July?$120.01Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.05Jun 30, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.02Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.02Jun 17, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.20Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Jun 14, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.00Jun 14, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.01Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.01Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$50.05Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$50.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.01May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.00May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.01May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.91May 22, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$122.61May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.90Feb 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 21, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $27.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.