Unsteady-Pilgrim
0x2fc166cafdab492400de07a385d280163c370144
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$6.07
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 93.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.96
$-0.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.04Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.05Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.11Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.05Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.07Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.06Dec 10, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.01Dec 8, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $158.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".