Defensive-Contagion
0x2fc1a835d2b17c67442969f140034a95b2dea12d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will EthCC be postponed?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
46 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?$25.00Jul 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3?$1.00Jul 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?$1.00Jul 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EthCC be postponed?$5.00Jul 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? $1.00Jul 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? $10.00Jul 3, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?$10.00Jul 3, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden join NATO by July 12?$5.00Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?$5.00Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $7.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".