Severe-Thongs
0x2fc3e9758682da9c270427f6ead2d342baa7fa8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-439.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in October 2025?
1307 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-404.11
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?
573 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-21.06
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
340 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.15
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?
158 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?$8.15Nov 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?$21.06Nov 5, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$0.00Nov 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in October 2025?$404.11Nov 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?$6.15Oct 17, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0.00Oct 7, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$0.33Oct 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?$39.86Oct 7, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?$30.86Oct 7, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire by Friday? $20.21Jun 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire by Friday? $9.22Jun 18, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire by Friday? $16.78Jun 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLPolish snap election called in 2025?$22.44Jun 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPolish snap election called in 2025?$22.87Jun 10, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?$1.00Jun 9, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on June 5?$0.00Jun 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?$3.99Jun 6, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $20.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".