Gargantuan-Ceramic
0x2fd261c5473099a3191e9dc8e9da4c9ba9d5ec3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.70
Total PnL
$-28.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
742 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.24
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
279 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$3.96Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$5.89Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$5.59Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.01Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.