Elaborate-Polo
0x2fdd9740ff9cf09bdc618530357953a040d7f452
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$32.36
Total PnL
$-20.61
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.24
$0.23
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
49 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMMax Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer$5.11May 30, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMIbrahim Mbaye: Anytime Goalscorer$1.06May 30, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMEberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorer$5.43May 30, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMGabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer$5.10May 30, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?$0.01May 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMax Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer$4.00May 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 30?$1.00May 30, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 30?$1.00May 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.00May 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?$1.02May 30, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?$1.00May 30, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMax Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer$1.00May 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIbrahim Mbaye: Anytime Goalscorer$1.00May 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.02May 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorer$5.01May 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer$5.00May 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$1.00May 30, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?$0.00May 29, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".