Identical-Elk
0x2fdff25a3edfbcf0bc62188187a53e245a916b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$801.97
Total PnL
$-226.37
Realised
$-26.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$200.00
$6.73
- NO
US bank failure by December 31?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$200.00
$10.00
- NO
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
140 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$140.33
$1.83
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.50
$-82.50
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
107 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$107.14
$7.14
- NO
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.00
$2.16
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
699 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.96
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
60 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".