Simplistic-Windchime
0x2fe5daf09084efbcaac0ce3cc68c490a15234e08
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-506.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
10693 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-173.79
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
2077 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.83
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
940 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.42
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
594 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.70
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
492 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
195 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
86 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?$113.64Feb 28, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$169.57Feb 28, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$200.00Feb 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$39.00Feb 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30.00Feb 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$30.00Feb 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$88.83Feb 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Yemen in 2025?$15.84Oct 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$16.50Oct 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$49.98Oct 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$4.50Aug 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$25.00Aug 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$18.92Aug 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$2.25Aug 15, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel before July?$0.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iranian officials visit the White House in June?$0.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEM US military action on Yemen before July?$0.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$0.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$0.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $38.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".