0x2fee7aca42e4cee60a9e08526d266677f5b42e1a
0x2fee7aca42e4cee60a9e08526d266677f5b42e1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$389.52
Total PnL
$-49.27
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
51 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.59
$-0.76
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
42 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.71
$1.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
31 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.92
$1.55
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 92.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$25.66
$10.66
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 64.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.94
$3.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
31 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.19
$-0.61
- NO
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.58
$4.58
- NO
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$14.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
33 shares @ 31.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.82
$3.50
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?
22 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$12.43
$0.11
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.