Half-Evolution
0x2fefb8c64a2b853f96c52779b8a2f4b1c935aecb
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $20-24m?
367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will another model be the top AI model on December 31?
308 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?$2.00Jan 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?$1.00Jan 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $20-24m?$1.00Jan 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.15Jan 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?$1.00Dec 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$1.20Dec 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another model be the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 18, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".