Admirable-Tailbud
0x2ff30a11a8d216009682d7097e6f73b0fbe8a188
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$292.57
Total PnL
$-453.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
1649 shares @ 14.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.17
$-104.57
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
283 shares @ 15.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$76.28
$33.28
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
591 shares @ 9.2¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.61
$19.20
- YES
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4742 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-56.35
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2830 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-145.72
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1850 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-88.48
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1580 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.08
- YES
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
699 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.45Jul 9, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.