0x2ff3c6521aea135089a6c824c776e410d336a050
0x2ff3c6521aea135089a6c824c776e410d336a050
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$11.43
Total PnL
$-71.86
Realised
$-14.20
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- GEN.G
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$4.25
$1.02
- OVER
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$3.94
$0.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$3.24
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?
3230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 14?
323 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
17 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
13 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
11 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
- NO
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$3.47Apr 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.36Apr 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.14Apr 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$3.80Apr 30, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$10.59Apr 30, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$7.75Apr 30, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$6.20Apr 30, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.77Apr 30, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.23Mar 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$3.23Mar 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$3.23Mar 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.23Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.23Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.23Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.73Mar 18, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$2.29Mar 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.23Mar 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$3.23Mar 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$3.23Mar 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)$3.23Mar 17, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.