Sugary-Institution
0x3000045f08dbdf94043585306f7f82438a2a9eb1
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$367.48
Total PnL
$-990.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
320 shares @ 30.5¢·now 30.6¢·exp May 13, 2026$98.08
$0.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
196 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$93.03
$-0.98
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
172 shares @ 55.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.42
$-4.51
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$51.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
130 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.80
$-1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
1460 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.73
$-256.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?
120 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.24
$-78.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET
318 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.16
$-199.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.02
$-3.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET
300 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET$102.521h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET$102.661h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET$200.002h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET$105.122h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET$74.872h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$93.142h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET$95.483h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$219.993h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$161.503h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$325.423h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$125.314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$58.654h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.824h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.254h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$20.044h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$75.894h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$19.894h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
