Wrong-Urn
0x30088d72c826065532ca9d0b25c66ccaa1c63c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$70.34
Total PnL
$-41.79
Realised
$-1.38
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.90
$-3.10
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$11.30
$-3.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.80
$-6.60
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.50
$-3.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.30
$-5.70
- YES
Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
15 shares @ 36.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$4.51
$-1.03
- NO
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.93
$-1.10
- YES
Will Connor Farrell win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$3.90
$-1.30
- YES
Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$2.90
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$3.54Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$1.36Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$5.00Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$5.98Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$6.53Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$5.58Jul 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.62Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$6.20Jul 28, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$3.65Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$3.80Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$4.80Jul 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$2.20Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$7.00Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$15.20Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$9.20Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?$3.40Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$4.62Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$5.01Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$6.20Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.