Ethical-Handrail
0x3016be8fd7ca13955c6933f417f3ea223f39f1fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$89.85
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-225.18
Win rate
59%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.33
$-16.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
45 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.12
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?
34 shares @ 13.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.14
$-3.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?
26 shares @ 9.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.26
$-2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 27?
12957 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?
11969 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 27?
11889 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 8?
5840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- NO
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-11?
5774 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?
2859 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?$1.08Jun 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?$1.35Jun 14, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?$1.62Jun 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$0.56Jun 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14?$5.02Jun 14, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$2.23Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$1.88Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$2.88Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?$4.01Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?$1.04Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?$1.31Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?$1.68Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?$0.09Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?$0.75Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?$3.00Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?$0.66Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?$1.36Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?$1.04Jun 13, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.