Prime-Certainty
0x301e718832dca39a21559b3bd913393ca9a212bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.05
- YES
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?
46 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
40 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
27 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$16.49Nov 5, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$10.00Nov 5, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 5, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $20.00Nov 5, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$6.05Nov 5, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala get more votes than Biden?$10.00Nov 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala get more votes than Biden?$10.00Nov 5, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".