Willing-Drill
0x3024712d12a75c911f8abf2a88ad44e3a4778ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-928.23
Realised
$37.63
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 7?
7204 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on March 24?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 11?
2336 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-67.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 20?
2257 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 13?
2205 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 11?
2002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 20?
1877 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on March 21?
1852 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 21?
1834 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?$1.36Jul 30, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$1.38Jul 30, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 30, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on July 30?$0.08Jul 30, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on July 30?$0.19Jul 30, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on July 30?$0.04Jul 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?$3.44Jul 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?$4.76Jul 30, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$0.30Jul 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$0.75Jul 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$3.08Jul 29, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on July 29?$0.07Jul 29, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.