Frail-Banquette
0x3026a3d3f174d332b2e5811a4ee7e2f11a9e9efd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$121.36
Total PnL
$-35.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$120.06
$0.06
- NO
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3?
2506 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 2?
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
2300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
1701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 31?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$120.01May 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$120.12May 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$120.01May 13, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April?$1.17May 12, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$119.12May 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$119.01May 11, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$115.11May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$115.01May 6, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.30May 6, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April?$1.17May 6, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$4.83May 6, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$126.13May 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$126.01May 2, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00May 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00May 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.13May 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.19May 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.32May 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.24Apr 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$119.12Apr 30, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $50.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".