Bubbly-Mug
0x303080a254250f0b347411a0bed26a34a4c886ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$310.74
Win rate
78%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1104 shares @ 18.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.88
$-84.62
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
420 shares @ 37.8¢·now 21.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.80
$-68.95
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
365 shares @ 39.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.14
$-63.16
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
91 shares @ 56.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.20
$27.77
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
159 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.29
$-17.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
831 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$62.35
$-37.41
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
82 shares @ 54.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$53.30
$8.95
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
285 shares @ 26.6¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.33
$-24.67
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.50
$17.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
186 shares @ 36.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.08
$-28.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$101.94Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$45.93Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$56.00Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$90.81Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$16.83Jun 12, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$73.73Jun 12, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$16.05Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$25.30Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.34Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.34Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.95Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6.67Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.62Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$51.16Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$5.57Jun 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.40Jun 10, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $25.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.