Smooth-Influence
0x30328330513d01e16174d53d98c2047ef35c99e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$13.2K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$135.64
Win rate
24%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
3151 shares @ 88.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.1K
$313.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
1807 shares @ 93.0¢·now 61.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.1K
$-574.98
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
1211 shares @ 66.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$889.85
$89.85
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
813 shares @ 73.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$797.08
$197.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
742 shares @ 80.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$718.56
$118.56
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
634 shares @ 63.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$603.92
$203.92
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
557 shares @ 89.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$543.80
$43.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
605 shares @ 82.7¢·now 77.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$468.19
$-31.81
- NO
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?
782 shares @ 86.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$449.74
$-228.89
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in August?
460 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$419.90
$19.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$506.07Aug 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$29.85Aug 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$1.2KAug 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?$326.75Aug 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$3.00Aug 21, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?$1.40Aug 21, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?$1.00Aug 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$178.74Aug 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$54.42Aug 21, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$281.45Aug 20, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?$1.6KAug 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$301.66Aug 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$301.59Aug 20, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?$200.64Aug 20, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in August?$201.02Aug 20, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in August?$201.06Aug 20, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in August?$120.34Aug 20, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?$201.60Aug 20, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$502.10Aug 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$301.47Aug 20, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $261.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.