Careless-Carter
0x30384a501d579be33a3a7802e58673212210fb1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-193.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
698 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$697.67
$97.68
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
559 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$559.28
$59.28
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
217 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$503.02Oct 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $600.00Oct 25, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$500.00Oct 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$500.00Oct 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$2.1KOct 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$150.00May 5, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$265.79May 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on March 31?$100.00Mar 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$884.78Mar 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$810.19Mar 11, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on January 31?$100.00Jan 30, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep $0.00Jan 30, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Jan 30, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 30, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Carolina be the tipping point state?$172.41Jan 30, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$0.00Nov 9, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $0.00Nov 9, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump blowout victory?$144.95Nov 9, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$290.70Nov 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$400.00Nov 5, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $311.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.